The biggest Republican primary upset in 2026 has just occurred.
Representative Dan Crenshaw, who many consider a RINO, has just lost his Texas’ 2nd Congressional District race against Texas state senator Steve Toth.
With nearly 62% of the vote counted, Toth garnered 57% compared to Crenshaw’s 39.1%.
Take a look:

Here’s how social media reacted:
RINO Dan Crenshaw has been defeated by Steve Toth.
Follow: @AFpost pic.twitter.com/YwcY4bFx7r
— AF Post (@AFpost) March 4, 2026
This was funny:
There’s NO WAY Dan Crenshaw saw this loss coming tonight.
He was totally blindsided. pic.twitter.com/WqQqeKQhwQ
— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) March 4, 2026
Maybe Crenshaw shouldn’t have said this:
🚨 BREAKING: Dan Crenshaw, also known as Eyepatch McCain, has LOST HIS SEAT in Texas' 2nd Congressional District to Steve Toth
YES! THANK YOU TEXAS!
Crenshaw has been in a NON-STOP spiral in the past year, threatening to KlLL Tucker Carlson, and even being banned from… pic.twitter.com/NKKx1KqxiJ
— Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) March 4, 2026
KSAT had these details to report on Toth’s big win:
State Rep. Steve Toth declared victory Tuesday night in his bid to unseat incumbent U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, coming one step closer to representing Texas’ 2nd Congressional District.
Toth opened a wide lead in the Republican primary on Tuesday as results came in. The Associated Press has not declared a winner for the Houston-area seat.
ADVERTISEMENT“Congressional District 2 voters want a representative in D.C. who will stand firm in his convictions, fight for his constituents, and follow through on his promises. I won’t let them down,” Toth said in a news release.
Toth’s commanding lead was a reversal of fortunes for Crenshaw, who had in previous years sailed through the primaries with double-digit leads. The sudden overtaking comes despite Crenshaw having raised $1.3 million more than Toth.
Toth is among the Texas Republican Party’s most conservative members who have repeatedly questioned the commitment of leadership and Gov. Greg Abbott to the GOP’s values. The Conroe Republican has framed the race as a referendum on the future of the Republican Party, an effort that garnered support from several conservative leaders, including U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz and Turning Point Action.
If you’re not unfamiliar with Toth, get to know him by watching his sit down interview with Tucker:
If an unbalanced warmonger like Dan Crenshaw can represent the GOP in Congress, then honestly what’s the point of having a Republican Party? State Rep. Steve Toth is working to beat Crenshaw in the primary and restore the party to sanity.
(0:00) Dan Crenshaw Is Not America First… pic.twitter.com/1wEkn6R20w
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) October 6, 2025


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