So, in the latest election drama, President Donald Trump has edged out Harris by 2 points nationally.
But don’t celebrate too soon, Harris still has a 6-point lead in battleground states. Or so the poll says.
Oh, and by the way, the popular vote versus Electoral College question is back on the table.
Could we see a repeat of what occurred in 2000, when the GOP candidate lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College?
Fox Tonight: Trump +2
Where ya been, baby? https://t.co/CDuK2SVGS8 pic.twitter.com/UeZMoynvQF
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 16, 2024
Fox News reports:
President Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential contest 50%-48%, according to a new Fox News national survey. That’s a reversal from last month, when Harris had a narrow advantage.
Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states, and the candidates are tied at 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points). Trump’s advantage comes from a larger share in counties he won by more than 10 points in 2020 (64%-35%) than Harris has in counties Biden won by more than 10 points (58%-39%).
That raises the question of whether the Democrat could win the Electoral College while losing the national popular vote. In 2000 and 2016, it was the GOP candidate who lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College.
Trump’s 2-point edge among likely voters falls well within the margin of error. The results are identical among the larger group of registered voters. Last month, Harris was up by 2 points (50%-48%) among both likely and registered voters.
🚨 NEW FOX NEWS POLL (Beacon (R)/Shaw (D))
🟥 Trump 50%
🟦 Harris 48%Huge. Last poll was Harris by 2.
— Red Eagle Politics (@RedEaglePatriot) October 16, 2024
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