Here Are The Current Odds That RFK Jr., Kash and Tulsi Get Confirmed

This week we’ve had historic Senate Confirmation Hearings for RFK Jr., Kash Patel and Tulsi Gabbard.

“Hearings” is probably a bit of a stretch….

I watched almost all of them, and most of what I saw was just grandstanding for the camera.

Nothing in these “hearings” were designed to be truth seeking or to truly try to understand the nominees or their ideas, it was just political grandstanding and trying to get a clip for the cameras.

Why do I say that?

Because in each one, Democrat after Democrat would ask the same exact question over and over and over, when it had already been answered multiple times just a few minutes earlier.

If you’re trying to maximize truth seeking, you don’t do that.  You already got your answer.

But if you’re just trying to get a soundbite for the cameras, that’s exactly what you do.

It was embarrassing.

But here we are and now the only thing that really matters is how the votes will go.

So I thought we’d turn to Polymarket, since they were by far the most accurate during the 2024 election.

Why were they so accurate?

Perhaps because big money is rarely wrong, and Vegas never loses.

Here’s what they’re currently saying:

Tulsi is basically a coin-flip’s chance at 52% (not good!)…

RFK Jr. is better at 76%, but far from a guarantee…

And surprisingly Kash Patel is the strongest of all three at a commanding 95%:

While those three are currently getting the most attention, they’re not the only pending confirmations.

Some other big names include Elise Stefanik, Mike Huckabee, Dr. Oz….and Pam Bondi.

Pam Bondi currently sits at 99% likelihood of confirmation:

We’ll continue to monitor and bring you updates!