Nevada Poll Shows Major Movement with Republicans

As Nevada voters lock in their choices, a fresh SP&R poll shows President Donald Trump leading by six points.

Meanwhile, Republican Senate candidate Sam Brown is inching ahead of Democrat Jacky Rosen.

The win is almost assured for Brown.

With only 1.2% of voters undecided, Nevada’s late-breaking shift could make waves in a state.

And after the buzz of President Trump’s rally in Henderson, it seems the red wave just keeps getting bigger.

Today SP&R releases its Nevada poll in the races for both POTUS/US Senate. For President, we show Trump with a 6-point lead (Senate #'s to follow this tweet):

K. Harris: 44.2%
D. Trump: 50.2%
Not Sure: 1.2%
Refuse: 4.2%

Sample Size 400 LV
Field Dates 10/28-10/31
MoE +/-4.9% pic.twitter.com/O7rqtihHwf

— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) November 1, 2024

Today SP&R releases its latest Nevada poll in the race for United States Senate showing GOP challenger S. Brown with a .8% lead over incumbent J. Rosen:

J. Rosen: 46.2%
S. Brown: 47.0%
Not Sure: 2%
Other: .5%
Refuse: 4.2%

Sample Size 400 LV
Field Dates 10/28-10/31
MoE: +/-4.9% pic.twitter.com/xAbapwZnsK

— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) November 1, 2024

ABC News reports:

Despite its size, Nevada is one of the least densely populated states in the U.S, with a little more than 3.1 million residents. However, these voters will play a significant role in next week’s election.

The outcome of the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump will depend on voter turnout in battleground states like Nevada, which has become one of the country’s most diverse.

In Nevada, 40% of registered voters do not identify as either Democrat or Republican. Despite this, the state voted Democrat in the last four presidential elections. On Friday, Harris and Trump were nearly tied in the state.

A significant portion of the votes are expected to be counted by Friday morning, with additional votes coming in through the mail over the weekend, according to Nevada Independent reporter Gabby Birenbaum.

Speaking to ABC News on Thursday, Birenbaum offered an analysis of Nevada’s role as a swing state in the 2024 election as both campaigns make their final appeals to voters.

“Right now, Republicans are looking pretty strong in the state,” Birenbaum said. “It’s a lot of reason for optimism for them. They have a lead of just under about five points in terms of registered Republican turnout versus registered Democrat turnout. That’s very different than in past cycles.”

Democrats were counting on Nevada, polls show Latinos are breaking hard for Trump, showing him up 3 points, that's big

Trumps not taking his foot off the gas with (5) days left to go, it's full speed ahead, no letting up

Trump Rally, Henderson, NV, pic.twitter.com/l8BCrEJMwc

— @Chicago1Ray 🇺🇸 (@Chicago1Ray) November 1, 2024