Famous Election Forecast Uncovers DRAMATIC Shift in Final Days of 2024 Race

We’re nearing the final days of the 2024 race, and famous election forecaster Nate Silver has just uncovered a major change in the tides…

And it’s great news!

Silver’s election model now has President Trump leading Kamala Harris by a whopping 10 points!

Trump is estimated to have a 55% chance of winning, versus Harris’ 45%.

Check it out:

#NEW – @NateSilver538 Forecast (10/28)

Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 55%
🟦 Harris: 45%

Electoral Votes
🟥 Trump: 271 🏆
🟦 Harris: 267
——
Swing States: win probability

Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 56-44%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 69-31%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 64-36%
North Carolina – 🔴… https://t.co/JZqNLh7rnJ pic.twitter.com/DcNN74OaHf

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 28, 2024

#NEW Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update

🔴 Trump: 55%
🔵 Harris: 44.6% pic.twitter.com/YZHHrYfhU8

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024

The EconoTimes broke it down:

As the days leading up to the election dwindle, Nate Silver’s renowned forecasting model has delivered a striking update: Trump is now projected with a 53% chance of winning, edging out Kamala Harris, who sits at 47%. This near-even forecast has electrified the political landscape, suggesting an intensely competitive race that could come down to a razor-thin margin on Election Day.

The model, which aggregates polling data and factors in complex variables such as voter turnout and undecided blocs, indicates Trump’s edge in several key states that may ultimately define the outcome. Silver’s assessment has garnered wide attention, with many noting that this projection is one of the closest in recent election cycles. While a 53-47 split reflects only a slight advantage, Trump’s campaign has seized on the data to amplify optimism within their ranks.

“Seeing Trump with a clear edge is energizing our base,” one campaign official told reporters. “This model shows what we’ve been saying: the momentum is with us, and America wants four more years of Trump’s leadership.”

Wow.

If Nate Silver’s election model is any indication, then we are in for a BIG WIN this November!

Keep in mind that Nate Silver is far from a Trump supporter…yet, he recently told The New York Times that even his “gut” is telling him Trump is going to win:

In an election where the seven battleground states are all polling within a percentage point or two, 50-50 is the only responsible forecast. Since the debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, that is more or less exactly where my model has had it.

Yet when I deliver this unsatisfying news, I inevitably get a question: “C’mon, Nate, what’s your gut say?”

So OK, I’ll tell you. My gut says Donald Trump. And my guess is that it is true for many anxious Democrats.

Damn straight!

But don’t get complacent.

If you haven’t already, be sure to cast your vote, and get as many of your friends and family to do so, too!

It’s gotta be too big to rig…and so far, it looks like we’re getting there!

Too big to rig. Keep up the voting. We got this. pic.twitter.com/R4GzlkazBL

— In4Profit (@in4profit) October 28, 2024