Is a Republican sweep in the cards for the 2024 election? There have been so many ups and downs, twists and turns in this election with more unprecedented firsts… is it really possible?
I’ve felt it. I’ve heard others talk about it. We know that’s not what usually happens – the last few Presidential elections have come down to a knife’s edge. Even considering that the true numbers of the 2020 election will never be known – it was still very close.
Here’s a glimpse at what is happening. Former RNC Chair Reince Priebus appeared on ABC News even BEFORE Kamala came completely unhinged on Fox News. The shift was already in the air, and I think most of us paying attention, knew it.
Reince Priebus, former RNC Chair: “For the first time in 32 years, REPUBLICANS are beating democrats straight up.”
Kamala Harris is losing. “The joy is gone.” pic.twitter.com/9i9oBZvOfK— ⚜️💎👑 Queen Katerina 👑💎⚜️ (@QueenDarbyy) October 14, 2024
And then today, multiple polls seems to be realizing what many of us have been feeling as we have watched the trends shift heavily towards President Trump and a conservative element in the Republican Party — and it may not just be a landslide we are about to witness. It could be a complete sweep!
In particular, the Polymarket prediction betting platform is showing today for the first time that Republicans could sweep the Presidency and both houses of Congress. Though from a conservative perspective, this comes with certain risks — there are a few RINO Republicans in the mix to contend with in the aftermath. But all-in-all, this would be a dream come true for those of us who are fervently praying for a way forward out of the SWAMP that is literally threatening to quench this beautiful American experiment of individual freedom and limited CONSTITUTIONAL REPUBLICANISM!
Trump's odds are up 2.5% after Kamala Harris' Fox News interview.
He now has a 24% lead. pic.twitter.com/7YFOFzwrfu
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 17, 2024
I would be remiss if I didn’t put out how ridiculously large President Trump’s lead has grown in the betting markets and also in more traditional polls! I do believe over the last few days we have seen the final sputtering end of any possibility Kamala Harris has of winning the Presidency, short of an extremely obvious round of cheating.
I don’t put it past them. But it would have to be on a level so large that the blowback would likely render any other issues moot. Let’s pray that does not happen.
According to reporting in the EconoTimes, the shift comes from a mix of concerns including dissatisfaction with the Biden-Harris administration and enormous gains in voter engagement on behalf of Republicans motivated to avoid a Kamala-Walz administration at all cost.
Republicans are now projected to take control of the White House, Senate, and House of Representatives, according to the latest Polymarket odds. This significant development positions the GOP for a potential historic sweep of the three major branches of the federal government, signaling a dramatic shift in the political landscape.
Polymarket, a popular prediction market, has revealed a surge in confidence for Republicans, suggesting they are favored to win the presidency, a majority in the Senate, and retain control of the House in 2024. With current odds favoring GOP victories across the board, political analysts are calling it a stunning reversal of fortune just months ahead of the election.
For now, the prediction markets are clear: Republicans are positioned for a potential sweep of the presidency, Senate, and House. The road to the White House is far from over, but GOP leaders are confident that the current momentum is on their side.
Fox News also came out with shifting numbers as the “Kamala Crash” continued. Check out the focus on the battle ground states in particular.
Fox Poll: Harris 48%, Trump 50% Overall Preference, Battle Ground States, Harris Up 6%, ‘Trump More Trustworthy’ pic.twitter.com/TsoV8ufpkB
— Alexandra Datig | Front Page Index 🇺🇸 (@alexdatig) October 17, 2024
Keep in mind — a lot of the “what if’s” in that Fox News segment are not quite as “iffy” as they made them sound. The majority of those “maybe’s” that shift things President Trump’s direction are FAR more solid than “maybe”.
The biggest question in terms of a possible Republican trifecta, a sweep, is whether Republicans can hold the House. Forexlive emphasizes this variable in their reporting from earlier today.
The big shift in betting odds in Polymarket has people intrigued about what is happening under the surface that has some people more-confident that Trump will win the Presidency. He’s at 61% now and that’s spawned all kinds of conspiracy theories as the polls haven’t moved much.
But I’m less interested in the Presidency for markets than I am for a sweep. I’ve long assumed the Republicans would win the Senate and that hasn’t changed, so the chances of a Democrat sweep were low. Given the popular vote totals, I’ve also leaned towards a Democratic win in the House, though that’s far from certain.
Far from certain, indeed. But the House is definitively more likely to end up in the hands of the Republicans, if even by a small margin, if you believe any of the top polling data — including the betting markets. They are all basically saying the same thing: a Republican sweep is looking more and more likely!
Take a look at today’s info from Real Clear Politics polling:
Everywhere you look, the TREND is the same. President Trump is likely on the verge of a LANDSLIDE victory electorally — and it appears he may win the popular vote by a sizable margin as well!
Could it happen? I know, I know… now isn’t the time to let your guard down and get complacent. But from everything I am seeing, there is headway being made. The race that began fixated primarily on the Presidency and wrestling the reigns of the Executive Branch from those riding it hard towards destruction… has turned in to something quite different.
Could we be on the verge of a turn-around unlike anything in our lifetimes? Something that could make the “red wave” of years gone by seem nothing more than ripples (particularly when you consider the failure to capitalize on those wins)? Maybe. Keep the faith — it’s not over yet, but it’s starting to look more beautiful every day.
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