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Project Phoenix – Simulation Of Category 5 Hurricane Hitting Tampa


As Hurricane Milton barrels toward the Tampa Bay region, let’s review a simulation created by the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council (TBRPC) that played out this exact scenario.

“In 2009, the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council (TBRPC) developed the Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan: Project Phoenix, a plan to address the challenges of response and recovery during a catastrophic event in the Tampa Bay area. Hurricane Phoenix, a fictitious storm, was created to simulate the effects of a worst‐case scenario in our region; a direct strike from a Category 5 hurricane. A 10-minute video portrays the scenario using realistic weather reports and archived video footage,” the TBRPC wrote.

Per TBRPC:

The Tampa Bay Catastrophic Plan was created to address the challenges of response and recovery during a catastrophic event in the Tampa Bay area. A catastrophic incident is defined as “any natural or manmade incident including terrorism that results in extraordinary levels of mass casualties, damage, or disruption severely affecting the population, infrastructure, environment, economy, national morale and/or government functions.” It requires fully integrated inter‐ and intra‐governmental actions, combined capacities, communication, coordination and synchronization.

A large catastrophic incident could result in sustained widespread impacts over a prolonged period of time; almost immediately exceeding state, local and private‐sector resources in the impacted area. It will significantly interrupt governmental operations including emergency services and threaten public safety and national security. These factors drive the urgency for coordinated planning to ensure accelerated federal and state assistance.

This document focuses on the procedures, communication channels and coordination strategies necessary to rapidly request and receive critical resources post event. It relies on earlier catastrophic work as well as local perspectives to assist in the assessment of damage, calculation of tactical and support resource need, requests for assistance and management of those resources. This document also investigates the roles of community partners including the private sector, not‐for‐profit organizations, volunteer organizations, faith‐based partners and survivors in response and recovery.

WATCH:

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The TBRPC published “Project Phoenix 2.0: The Recovery” in 2020.

“The TBRPC is proud to present Project Phoenix 2.0: The Recovery, a facilitated training exercise that examines critical issues and capabilities of Tampa Bay area small businesses and emergency management agencies during disaster recovery. A series of videos supplement the exercise; illustrating a simulated Category 5 hurricane hitting Tampa Bay paralleled with lessons learned and words of advice from small business owners impacted by Hurricane Michael in 2018,” TBRPC wrote.

Here’s a snippet:

From the Tampa Bay Times:

It is only a simulation. It’s also the worst-case scenario. One day, it could be reality.

“Hurricane Phoenix” is the hypothetical disaster that would change life in the Tampa Bay area forever.

Imagine a Category 5 storm that drowns South Tampa and turns St. Petersburg into an island. The bridges rendered impassable, the airports unusable and the region’s communities left on their own until help arrives. Power loss in some areas could last months. The beaches would be wiped away, as would tourism. Nearly every small business could die. Recovery would take a decade.

That is the vivid and grim picture painted by Hurricane Phoenix 2.0, the doomsday scenario hurricane simulation conducted by the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council.

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If all that sounds hyperbolic, it’s not. The Tampa Bay area is considered to be one of the most vulnerable population centers to a hurricane strike. The fact that we haven’t been hit by a major hurricane in 99 years is nothing more than luck, experts say.

Phoenix 2.0 is the update to the council’s widely-cited 2009 Phoenix simulation, which first explained how devastating a major hurricane could be. It would create millions of tons of rubble and economic damage equivalent to erasing a small nation.

“Project Phoenix 2.0: The Recovery is a facilitated training exercise that examines critical issues and capabilities of Tampa Bay area small businesses and emergency management agencies during disaster recovery,” TampaBayRPC said.

“This video was created by the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council with funding by the U.S. Economic Development Administration, and in coordination with emergency management staff from the six-county Tampa Bay region,” it added.

WATCH:

Read the full details of Project Phoenix 2.0: The Recovery at the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council.

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This is a Guest Post from our friends over at 100 Percent Fed Up.

View the original article here.



 

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